I'd be comfortable with him returning…, Team TDG - deep full dyno w no $ or years. More Posts. C.J. I am not advocating taking Richard in the eighth round, but he has been going in the seventeenth round so depending on your position he could be worth taking late in the sixteenth. Atlanta saves 3.5 million dollars if, and Atlanta did not draft a running back in a round higher than the 5th in the 2019 draft. You also have the option to opt-out of these cookies. I can keep 10 players and have Lindor at $29b (b meaning I can keep him…, Anderson for Flaherty sounds nice. 5th round pick Qadree Ollison will be a 23-year old rookie with an inferior College Dominator rating to Smith and mediocre college receiving production (94 receiving yards per season). As compared to raw targets, for example, target depth is a superior gauge of receiving ability currently available. A player who fits this description perfectly is Jalen Richard. I started off with quarterbacks, but now let’s move to the Running back position. According to PlayerProfiler’s Dynasty Dominator App, Richard has been the RB67 over the last 30 days. And on a more anecdotal note: those primary backs whose touch distributions skew toward targets (, Richard has been the RB67 over the last 30 days. And he's only 25. And to reinforce the point made at the beginning of the article, Richard, who has done most of his NFL work as a receiver and who relies on elusivity rather than grinding yards after contact, has been durable, not missing a game in 3 years. June 3, 2019. If a lot of running backs are still on the board, there is no reason to suspect he will be targeted by the majority of managers and you might be able to wait as far as the twentieth. With the NFL Draft in the books and OTAs in full stride, it’s time to start ranking the players in order to help you prepare for your upcoming season. Richard is currently going as RB63 with an ADP of 213 overall; yet he was actually the 29th highest (PPR) running back last season. I started off with quarterbacks, but now let’s move to the Running back position. All these impressive metrics give a glimpse into Richard’s talent and upside, but opportunity and random circumstance drive running back production more than at any other position. Now, don’t misinterpret what I’m suggesting. Jalen Richard, Raiders. Josh Hermsmeyer has explained that air yards is a good indicator of the intent of a coaching staff and quarterback to get the ball in the hands of a receiver. Explained differently, target depth help distinguish between those running backs utilized as downfield threats as receivers and those backs whose targets are mainly checkdowns, which suggests a generally more replaceable skillset based on the advanced stats, metrics, and analytics player profiles. 5th round pick. Making definitive conclusions about a player’s talent on such a small sample size, and using non-predictive metrics to make your case, is an inadvisable endeavor. DISCUSSION. What's he worth? Houston and Tampa Bay come to mind. Richard also increased his catch rate last season from 75% in 2017 to 84% in 2018. Traded TAnderson as part to get Flaherty…. 55 rushed for 259 yards and 1 TD on the ground. The most enticing aspect of Ito Smith’s profile coming into the NFL was his excellent 88th percentile college target share and 482 receiving yards per season at Southern Mississippi. Team 2 below. According to PlayerProfiler’s Dynasty Dominator App, Richard has been the RB67 over the last 30 days. If Richard does stay with Oakland, there is still room for him to be viable in 2019. We'll assume you're ok with this, but you can opt-out if you wish. Oakland’s drafting of Josh Jacobs in the 1st round was a damaging blow to whatever remained of the dynasty value of Jalen Richard. Smith operates in an efficient and high-scoring offense and is the direct backup to a physical runner that will demand a significant workload and that has already suffered three documented concussions and multiple leg injuries. All these impressive metrics give a glimpse into Richard’s talent and upside, but opportunity and random circumstance drive running back production more than at any other position. Coincidentally, while working on this article, news has sprouted of a power struggle in New York leading to the potential trade of Bell. This would mean Wheels Up for McGuire. When sifting through air yards data for running backs, Elijah McGuire is an immediate standout, with a 3.4 and 6.0 Average Target Distance in 2017 and 2018, respectively. TDG Roundtable: Players We Got Wrong In 2020, Jordan’s Research Ramblings: Predictive wOBAcon Soup for the Soul, TDG Roundtable: Players we got right in 2020, Dynasty Deconstructed: Rebuilding a Fantasy Basketball Roster – The Blueprint (Part 2), The Top 500 Dynasty League Players, March 2018, The Top 500 Dynasty League Players, March 2017, The Top 500 Dynasty League Players – July 2017, TDG’s Top 500 Dynasty Rankings March 2020. This category only includes cookies that ensures basic functionalities and security features of the website. And unlike Drake, who showed little potential in college for NFL workhorse status, Mcguire boasted a 72nd-percentile College Dominator Rating. McGuire’s dynasty ADP over the last 30 days has been RB77, essentially free. He is very likely the best pure pass catcher in his backfield, and the Oakland receiving core is lacking established target hogs outside of. With the NFL Draft in the books and OTAs in full stride, it’s time to start ranking the players in order to help you prepare for your upcoming season. He had 68 receptions on 81 targets for 607 yards. He totaled 123 touches this year for 866 yards. Considering the replaceability of the position and that NFL teams are becoming more willing to employ a platoon of running backs, having the more unique prowess in the passing game will help those backs stand out in increasingly muddled backfields. When considering that the massive projected workload for Bell carries a higher injury risk, Bell remaining on the Jets may not necessarily be a death sentence for McGuire. John Gruden, who has faced plenty of media scrutiny, will likely make it a priority to feed Jacobs this year to justify this pick, similar to what Jacksonville did with Leonard Fournette in his rookie year.
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